Chief Executive Officer of Global Info Analytics, Musa Dankwa, has explained that if the newly formed Alliance for Revolutionary Change (ARC) works hard and campaigns rigorously, it could drag the race into a runoff.
The researcher said if the newly formed alliance is able to cripple candidate John Dramani Mahama in his strongholds and win much more floating voters, then we could have a runoff.
He also stated that should they manage to garner votes from the Eastern region, Ashanti, Bono, and the Western regions, then we could witness a major problem.
“So they will have an effect, and the effect could be Mahama coming down or Bawumia coming down further.”
He added that “one of the effects is that they will deny the NPP runoff because if they perform well and get more votes from within the NPP, they will pose a major threat to the NPP, and if they get votes from the NDC, there could be a possibility of a runoff”.
He went on to state that “for now, where Mahama is even on a moving average, he is well above 50 percent plus one. So if the alliance is able to cripple Mahama in his strongholds, or if they are able to win a lot of floating voters, then they could drag the race into a runoff. But if they are able to garner votes from the Ashanti region, the Eastern region, Bono, and the Western regions, then there would be a problem, and at the moment, that is what is happening.”.
He continued “the smaller parties have not been a formidable force over the years, and maybe Dr. Abu Sakara, partnering Alan, is there to pull some of the CPP base and some of the Northern Block he could appeal. He is from Savannah, and he could garner some votes there. But the question is, would those people rather depart from the tradition to join a new reliance? It is a question we have to answer along the way”.